UK Prime Minister Theresa May has now indicated that she is willing to leave the EU Single Market. While many see this as something positive, the reality of her position shows profound political weakness and lack of resolve. It shows that she definitely studied at the failed David Cameron school of negotiation.
She is obliged by the Referrendum result to not just to threaten to leave things like the Single Market but to actually leave. The British people voted to leave the EU and the Single Market is the most significant part, and in fact the central pillar, of the EU.
If the UK does not leave the Single Market then the confidence of the British People in democracy will be lost and the political class will lose all legitimacy. That would be a very dangerous condition in which to put a country that already holds the political class in contempt.
A far more effective negotiating position would be to say that the UK WILL leave the Single Market and is willing to risk a trade war with the EU if the EU discriminates against the UK with regard to trade.
The EU claims to be a force for world peace and history shows that free trade is the most significant guarantor for such peace. Recent EU rhetoric about “punishing” the UK is offensive and indication of belligerency by the EU. So much for its peaceful pronouncements!
The EU’s aggressive eastern expansionism, and its desire to incorporate the Ukraine into its imperial project, has already alienated an otherwise peaceful Russia. It cannot afford to do the same on its Western flank to a country that merely wants to be its friend and to engage in peaceful free trade.
In any case, an EU that does not accept free trade with an independent Britain is an EU that is doomed. The EU is currently in a very vulnerable political and geostrategic position and Theresa May should exploit this and call the EU’s bluff. If the EU does not achieve a favourable trade deal with the UK the the whole EU project will fail.
The EU is on the brink of the abyss and it is in no position to dictate terms! There is too much emphasis on what the EU can do to the UK in the short term. Buying into this narrative would be a serious mistake with regard to the forthcoming negotiations.
Theresa May seriously needs to up her game to get the best deal for Britain!